Oscars Predictions: Christopher Nolan and Lily Gladstone Surge Following Gotham and New York Film Critics Awards

Oscars Predictions: Christopher Nolan and Lily Gladstone Surge Following Gotham and New York Film Critics Awards

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

Weekly Commentary (Updated Nov. 30, 2023): The awards season has officially launched. Some bits of news:

“Past Lives” won big at the Gotham Awards but “Killers of the Flower Moon” got the biggest boost after winning the top prize at the New York Film Critics Awards.

The Oscars announced the ceremony will begin one hour earlier, followed by a special episode of ABC’s “Abbott Elementary.” This is to keep the show from running over.

Aidy Bryant will host the Film Independent Spirit Awards, which will announce its nominees on Tuesday.

SAG Awards have named its team of executive producers to lead its creative team as they head toward the first year on Netflix.

Most significant chart gains: Lily Gladstone and Charles Melton made gains after winning the Gotham and NYFCC awards, proving their major competitors.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

The submission deadline for general categories is Nov. 15, 2023. The preliminary shortlist for eight categories is from Dec. 14-18, with the results announcement dropping on Dec. 21. The Oscar nomination period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominees named on Jan. 23.

The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10, 2024.

*** = PREDICTED WINNER

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